Bollinger Bands Technical Analysis & Bollinger Signals
Developed by John Bollinger
Bollinger Bands are formed by 3 lines. The middle line is a MA(Moving Average) - 20 period Simple MA Moving Average.
The bands are then drawn at a distance away from the moving average(MA) These are the bands which form the lower and upper lines.
The distance where the bands are plotted is decided by another indicator known as the standard deviations. Standard deviation is a measure of volatility in the market or that of a xauusd.
Since the market price volatility keeps on changing, the standard deviations will keep oscillating, & since Bollinger bands are drawn using the standard deviation method/calculation the distance of the bands will keep on adjusting themselves to the volatility conditions.
When prices become more volatile, the bands widen and they contract during less volatile periods.
The 3 Bands are designed and intended to encompass majority of the price action. Middle band forms the basis for the market trend, commonly a 20-periods simple moving average MA.
This band also serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The upper band's and lower band's distance from the middle band is decided by volatility. The upper band is drawn at +2 standard deviations above middle band while lower bollinger band is drawn at -2 standard deviations below middle band.
XAU USD Analysis and Generating Signals
- Bands provide a relative definition of high & low
- Used to identify periods of high & low volatility
- Used to identify periods when the prices are at extreme regions
the Squeeze
The bands tighten as volatility reduces, this identifies periods of consolidation. Sharp price break-outs tend to occur after the bands tighten.
Consolidation Pattern
the Bulge
If the prices break through upper or lower band & move outside the bands a continuation of current trend is expected.
Double Tops & Double Bottoms
Bottoms and tops made outside the bands followed by bottoms & tops made inside the bands call for reversals in the trend
The Head Fake - Gold Whipsaw
Traders should be on look out for false breakouts known as whipsaws or head fakes.
Price often breaks out in one direction immediately following the Squeeze causing many traders to think the break-out will continue in that particular direction, only to quickly reverse & make the true, more significant break-out in the opposite trend market direction.
Traders reacting quickly on the initial breakout often and commonly get caught on the wrong side of the price action, while those traders expecting a "false breakout" can quickly close-out their original position & enter a trade in the direction of reversal. It is always good to combine Bollinger bands with other confirmation Trading Indicators.
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