Stock Indices Trends - Technical Analysis of Trend Trading
When it comes to trading the market, there is one saying that says “the trend is your friend”. This is because the trend has been found to be the most reliable method of trading the markets as compared to any other technical analysis method. Traders should therefore aim to base their technical analysis on the market trend of the stock index that they are trading.
The stock indices market is a great place for speculating on the short term market moves, more than it is for investing in the long term market trends. Traders can also follow and trade the long term trends but this website will mainly focus on day trading methods which are mainly short term trading methods.
For our examples and our trading we shall use the 1 hour chart time frame, the example below shows where to set the 1 hour chart on your stock indices platform.
To access the 1 hour chart just click on chart menu as shown above then click periodicity and then select the 1 hour chart time frame.
Once you have selected the 1 hour chart time frame it is time to learn how to determine the trend of the stock index that you are trading, whether it is up or down so that you can decide whether to open a buy or a sell trade.
First let us look what is an uptrend and what is a down trend
The upward trend means the general market direction of a stock index is upwards as shown below – when the market trend is upwards traders will open buy trades also known as “going long”.
Upward Trend – Open Buy Trade or Going Long
The downward trend means the general market direction of a stock index is downwards as shown below – when the market trend is downwards traders will open sell trades also known as “going short”.
Downward Trend – Open Sell Trade or Going Short
Methods of Determining the Trend Direction
There are various methods used to determine the general market direction of a stock index.
One of the most common methods of determining the trend in any market is the use of trend lines. But for stock indices the use of trend lines is not the best method therefore we shall not look at this method on this tutorial instead we shall look at the moving average crossover method which is the best method to determine the trend direction of stock indices.
Moving Average Crossover Method – Stock Index Trend Trading
The moving average crossover method is a trading method where two moving averages are used to determine the market direction. A buy or sell signal is generated when there is a crossover between these two moving averages. The buy signal is when the two moving averages are moving upwards and a sell signal is when the two moving averages are moving downwards.
Moving Averages – Buy Signal
The moving averages crossover method generates a buy signal when the two moving averages crossover and start moving upwards as shown below, this is where a trader would have opened a buy trade as this upward trend continued for some time after the buy signal was generated. A trader would have closed their trade once the moving averages crossed in the opposite direction.
The second indicator in the setup below was used to confirm this upward trend – The RSI indicator levels above 50 shows prices are moving upwards and closing higher than they open.
Moving Averages – Sell Signal
The Moving averages crossover method generated a sell signal once Moving averages crossed each other and started moving downwards, the downward trend continued moving down as shown below by the moving averages which continued to move downwards. A trader would wait until the moving averages cross in the opposite direction to close this sell trade.
The RSI indicator confirms the sell direction as long as the RSI is below 50 it shows prices are moving lower and closing lower than they opened.
Once you have learned how to determine the trend direction of the market then you can use this as the basis of your trading decisions when trading the online stock indices market.