Drawing Fibo Retracement Areas on Upwards & Downward Trend
The bitcoin price on a cryptocurrency chart does not move up/down in a straight line. Instead it moves up or down in a zigzag manner. ==22==FiboFibonacciFib Retracement is the tool used to calculate/estimate where the zigzag will stop. The pull back levels are 38.2 %, 50 % ==22==& 61.8%. These form the points at which the btcusd market is likely to make a retracement.
What is a retracement? It is a pull back of the bitcoin price before the btcusd market resumes original trend/original direction of movement.
Examples of Zigzag Movement: The Example below shows bitcoin price moving up in a zigzag manner.
The diagram below shows movement in an upward market.
1-2: Bitcoin Price moves up
2-3: Pull back
3-4: Moves up
4-5: Pull-back
5-6: Moves up
Since we can spot where a pull back starts on a Crypto chart, how do we know where it'll reach?
The answer is we use Fib retracement tool indicator.
This is a type of line study used in bitcoin trading to predict and calculate these levels. This btcusd indicator is placed directly on the cryptocurrency chart within the trading platform provided by your broker, This bitcoin indicator will then automatically/mechanically calculate these levels on the chart.
What are The Retracement Levels
- 23.6%
- 38.2 %
- 50.0%
- 61.8 %
38.20% and 50.00% Levels are the most used & most of the times this is where the retracement will reach. With 38.20% being the most liked and most widely used.
61.80% is also oftenly used to set stops for trades opened using this strategy.
This tool will be drawn in direction of the trend as described on the exemplifications laid-out below.
How to Draw on an Upwards Bullish Market
In the diagram below the bitcoin price is heading up between 1 and 2 then after 2 it retraces downward to 50.00% pull back area then it continues heading up in the initial ==22==upwardupwards trend. Notice that this trading indicator is drawn and plotted from point 1 to 2 in the direction of the bitcoin trend (Upward).
Because we know this is just a pull back based on strategy of using this technical indicator, we put a buy order just between the areas 38.2% and 50.0% and our stop loss just below 61.8% pull back mark. If you had put buy at this point in the trade example illustrated below you would have made a lot of pips.
Explanation for the Above Bitcoin Example
Once the BTCUSD trade hit the 50.0 % level, this zone provided a lot of support for the bitcoin price, and afterward the btcusd trading market then resumed the original up bitcoin trend & continued to move upward.
23.60% provides minimum support and is not an ideal place which to open an order.
38.2 % provides some support but bitcoin price in this example continued to retrace upto the 50 % zone.
50.0% provides a lot of support & in this example, this was the ideal point to set a buy order.
For this exemplification, the retracement reached the 50.00 % pull back area, but most of the time the bitcoin trading market will retrace up to 38.2 % and ==22==thereforehence most times traders set their buy limit bitcoin orders at the 38.2 % level, while the same time setting a stoploss just below 61.8 %.
How to Draw on a Downwards Bearish Market
In the diagram below the btcusd trading market is moving down between 1 and 2, then after 2 it retraces up to 38.20 % retracement then it continues heading down in the original and initial ==22==downwardsdownward trend. Notice that this indicator is drawn from point 1 to 2 in the direction of the bitcoin trend (Downwards).
Because we know this is just a pull back we put a sell order at 38.20% level & a stop loss just above 61.8%.
If you had put sell order at the 38.2% level like illustrated on the BTCUSD trade below you'd have made a lot of pips afterwards. In this trade the retracement reached 38.20% point & did not get to 50.00% mark. From experience it is always good to use 38.2% because majority of the times the pull back does not always get to 50.00% mark.
Explanation for the Above BTCUSD Example
The above example is the perfect setup where the bitcoin price retraces immediately after touching the 38.2 % Level.
This level provided a lot of resistance for the pullback, this was the best place for an investor to place a sell limit bitcoin order as the btcusd trading market quickly moved down after getting to this level.
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