USDJPY News Strategy - Example of USDJPY Forex News Trading
Economic news releases for USDJPY often evoke strong moves in the USDJPY currency pair, creating a lot of short-term USDJPY Forex trading opportunities for USDJPY breakout traders.
However, not all economic reports for USDJPY are tradable. Some of the economic news have a significant effect on the USDJPY currency pair while others do not have any effect on USDJPY currency pair. By looking at the economic calendar forex traders can find out the significance of the upcoming reports for USDJPY, and find out whether the economic report is worth trading or not when analyzing USDJPY currency pair.
The USDJPY Forex news reports are marked in terms of significance. There are three levels of significance: RED, ORANGE, GREEN. The most significant news reports for USDJPY are marked in red: the least significant for USDJPY are marked in green, while those marked in orange are in between.
USDJPY News Trading Strategies:
Trading the USDJPY breakout channel - USDJPY News Trading Forex Strategies
Forex Traders simply set Buy & Sell limit orders on both sides of USDJPY price channel, so when the USDJPY news data comes out one of the USDJPY orders will probably be hit. Although this method is very simple, it also carries risks of potentially hitting the two USDJPY orders: Buy & Sell USDJPY trade orders as the market is volatile because of the economic reports. In such a double-hit situation forex traders will face losses on one or sometimes even both USDJPY trades.
By analyzing the USDJPY news report - USDJPY NEWS Trading Forex Strategies
Forex Traders can predict most probable outcome of the USDJPY news by looking at the USDJPY economic calendar fields labeled as Forecast and Previous. These news figures are then compared with the economic data released to give an idea about the current economic situation so as to analyze how to trade the USDJPY currency pair.
Forex traders trading USDJPY watch the news report and pay attention to the actual numbers released. If the USDJPY numbers come as a surprise meaning the reports are not close to what was expected or forecasted, then fundamental analysts opening USDJPY trading positions will do so according to the economic reports - If the USDJPY news report is better than expected then fundamental traders open buy positions. If the reports are not favorable traders open Short positions.
The most important thing you have to know about USDJPY fundamental analysis is the market expectation of an economic indicator. Economic analysts provide a prediction of a probable number of the economic indicator to be announced. This has an impact to the USDJPY market and traders are positioned accordingly to trade USDJPY currency pair. When the economic indicator is announced it affects the market only when the report is different from what the market expected. That happens because every available economic indicator available to the public information is already taken into account when trading USDJPY.
Example of USDJPY Forex News Trading
The best USDJPY news trading strategy, is one that is based on the economic news calendar used to time when the news releases are to happen so as to trade these USDJPY data reports. A USDJPY trader will keep a schedule of these economic new times and prepare how to trade the data before & after the data is released for the USDJPY currency pair.
A USDJPY trader can get the times of when the economic data for USDJPY currency pair are to be released by observing an economic calendar. The economic news calendar contains the time-table of when news data for USDJPY are bound to be released. The economic news calendar is compiled by Financial Analysts and Economist who study the fundamental reports and economies of the world. This News Calendar will show the timetable for all the news releases scheduled for the next 30 days for the USDJPY currency pair.
By having this economic calendar a USDJPY trader can schedule when to trade these USDJPY economic data reports well in advance. To obtain a copy of this calendar a trader can search for "Forex Calendar" and you will find a couple of these economic calendars online hosted on various sites.
An Economic Calendar will normally have three readings:
- Previous Reading
- Forecast
- Actual News
Previous Reading - This piece of the data shows the previous value or reading of a previous news reports. Most fundamental reports are in the form of numeric numbers or percentages.
Forecast - Forecast shows the value for the news that economic experts predict for that particular report. This value is forecasted way before the date of the economic release. Economic and Financial Analysts will put across their forecast.
- If the forecast number is better than previous, USDJPY traders will buy the currency associated with the good forecast
- If the forecast number is worse than previous, USDJPY traders will sell the currency associated with the bad forecast
Actual News Release
This is what will determine if there will be a large price movement or none at all.
If the actual data release is same to the forecast, then there will not be much movement, this is because USDJPY traders anticipated this data and have already traded the news even before the actual data was released.
If the actual news release is not the same as the forecast, this will come as a surprise to the USDJPY traders, if the forecast and actual data release is not the same then, the USDJPY traders will have to adjust their trades accordingly and this will cause a price reversal in the opposite direction of the USDJPY Currency.
If likewise the actual data reading was way better than expected, then price will continue towards its direction and gain further momentum towards that direction. Likewise, if the actual news report is worse than predicted price movement will also continue in the same direction as that of before the news release and this time gain more momentum and move further towards that direction.
Example:
When the new information is announced then it has impact on the market only if it is different than expected. If the information is as expected then it has no impact on the USDJPY currency pair because the information is already available to the public and has already been taken into account.
In order to use the forex fundamental analysis, you should first be able to know market indicators. Economic calendar containing all the fundamental indicators is created by economists. Economists also use this Economic calendar to predict different news reports. These predictions are provided by market analysts. This can have great impacts on the market when trading the USDJPY currency pair. USDJPY Forex Traders will watch out for news announcements that have a great impact on the financial markets.
When are economic news released? - USDJPY News Strategy
USDJPY Economic Reports Announcement Times of the major economies and major currency pairs traded in the forex trading market.
